From Foreign Affairs: ‘The Libyan Rebels and Electoral Democracy’

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‘In principle, international actors can mitigate the problems of early elections if they provide a robust peacekeeping force, facilitate the demobilization of armed groups, support reliable power sharing agreements, and help to build modern political institutions. In Libya, the size of these tasks is great because of the country’s vast institutional deficit, the multiplicity of its armed factions, and its corruption. Moreover, international involvement is likely to be limited. All in all, our research provides a warning that early elections under such conditions will increase the risk of a return to civil war.’

Related On This Site:  Walter Russell Mead At The American Interest Online: ‘Obama’s War’From The WSJ: “Allies Rally To Stop Gadhafi”… From The Washington Post: ‘Obama Authorizes Predator Drone Strikes In Libya’

Charlie Rose Episode On Libya Featuring Bernhard Henri-Levy, Les Gelb And Others

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One thought on “From Foreign Affairs: ‘The Libyan Rebels and Electoral Democracy’

  1. ….March 02 2010 ..The Iraqi elections are wide open and it is impossible to predict a clear winner with any degree of confidence. However we should reserve a healthy degree of skepticism that they will solve the logjam in Baghdad quickly or completely. Certainly highly successful elections would be a critically important step in the right direction for Iraq and unuccessful elections could exacerbate the situation significantly. But what appear to be the most likely scenarios will probably lead to protracted negotiations over government formation that could hamstring the functioning of the government for some time and might well provoke renewed violence. The new governments that would likely be the result of these scenarios could be both fragile and politically hamstrung making it difficult for them to find their feet for some period of time. All of this puts a premium on American assistance to Iraq s political process to prevent negotiations from deteriorating into conflict and prevent a new government from collapsing… However very important blocs of voters remain deeply committed to particular parties or leaders some of whom are badly discredited with the rest of the electorate. This adds to the unpredictability of the elections. Many Iraqis may hate the leadership collectively but since they are so committed to certain members of it may vote exactly the same as they did in 2005 despite their general desire for a radical break from the 2005-2009 patterns..

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